GIBBO’S TIPS
Tips
Gold Coast Turf Club – Saturday 12th September
#7 DUCHESS DIFFICULT
Looks a two-horse race with CARDONETTE who has placed in all four runs. Had chances in those runs and I was burnt, so I am looking at the Hoysted horse instead. DUCHESS DIFFICULT (who might be named after my daughter’s) was very good on debut and then a bit plain at second career run. Has won two trials in good fashion and blinkers go on here for the first time. She reacted well to them in a recent trial and I’m sure she looks the winner for a long way. Could play the 5,7 Quinella as another option.
#6 TORQUE SO HOT
A lot of questions in this race so I want to go with one I half trust. He sat off them over 1200m in Grafton and run away from them in a weak maiden. Went to a CL1 at the same track and didn’t run the 1400m out. Freshened up for this and back to 1200m suits. Not brimming with confidence but I think he runs well for a stable in very good form.
#2 MISHANI WITNESS (best bet)
Looks the best of the day and just has to run out a strong 1800m. The win at Ipswich over 1666m two runs back was dominant and a good pointer for this. Then went to a no metro win race in town and was solid after getting way too far back (3rd best L200m of the race). If the apprentice gives it a good ride I think it will win. Ran 3rd behind a handy one at only start this track.
#14 WELCOME ADVICE e/w
I want $5+ to be able to bet win/place. I went over this race four times trying to find an angle but there were too many inconsistent types. This So You Think mare was horrible in a couple of runs down south, had a decent break and changed to the Bruce stable. Trials were much better and was a winner first up after taking off a little wide before the corner. Maps well again here, strips fitter and gets her chance. I’M NOT HERE has upside but a bad draw. ARTISTIC ENDEAVOUR would win if he reproduced last starts effort but he’s only 1 from 18. MYTHOLOGY has been good at both runs this prep but just lacks a little class.
#9 FLYING VENTO
Two runs for two wins and plenty of upside left by the look of it. Trained on the track and the biggest query here is how many of these scratch? If they all run, there is tremendous speed. I have a feeling that we might get 4-5 come out and that is a whole different race. I feel this bloke is versatile and can be suited either way. Really liked the way he put them away the last 100m last start and gets a good senior jockey on today. ANOTHER CASHIE was very good his first prep and very plain last time in work. Could have a small play on him first up if he is decent odds.
Gold Coast Turf Club – Saturday 5th September
#3 MORE REVOLUTION
Big field and a few chance, I’d be rapt if we got double figures about this. Well beaten on debut but was the 2nd best L400m and 200m of that race. Liked him at $21 last start and he copped a horrible steer. Good through the line but no idea how close he should have finished. Horrible gate here is an issue but at least he can get to the outside and open air to let down. I could back him e/w or have a saver on AGADOO who is the likely fave and been consistent.
#3 OCCUPATION
This is a competitive race and I’m taking a risk that the northern rivers form is good enough. I admit this horse has to improve to win, but I feel he can. Still lightly raced with only four starts and three of them this prep. Won easily last start but in a five horse field. Rock hard fit, I feel the trip will suit and just a little play for an interest here.
#12 QUEIN STEP and #2 IL FRATELLO if the 12 doesn’t run.
Clearly the two horses with the most upside in the race. Loved the effort of QUEIN STEP when last here. Got back to near last and was good then entire straight to run 2nd. I thought the most recent trial was outstanding and is ready to go. The only issue is the outside gate over 1000m with a horse who will go back. Still has the class to win. IL FRATELLO completely lost it’s action at Toowoomba and had to be an issue. Quiet trial recently and I want it to be a little winning result also if prices allow.
#7 HEY DAISY
Myself and Daisy have had a love hate relationship over her 13 runs. She has been very consistent this time in and should have gone very close last start but was checked at the 50m mark. Should get a decent run midfield and get every chance to run them down late. She is 2/2 at this track and looks well placed here.
#10 OUT OF LUCK e/w
No good thing by any means and this might be the hardest race of the day to work out. The last four runs have all had merit and is always some of the best late splits in races. Like the booking of Boris on top and should get a decent run in transit. Just really want them to settle in the first half of the field here to give themselves every chance.
Gold Coast Turf Club – Friday 28th August
#1 IRON BULL (if $15+)
Longshot: Confidence is not high but it is very hard to make a case for many here. Just feel the further they go the more it will suit this bloke. Stop start race didn’t suit on debut and can improve off the experience. They can’t go back to last though and that’s my query. If they get to last it will be mission impossible.
#3 PIERATA’S SPIRIT
Trialled up well last prep but just a run on debut and bit weak late. Recent trial was looking good but the vision runs out on the home corner on Racing Qld website. Makes it a bit tough to be confident but looks a promising one in the making for Tony Gollan. SNITZSTREAM might be the main danger but has the wide gate.
#12 XPLAIN THIS
(Assuming the emergencies don’t get a run, cause a few of them go well.)
Don’t think this will be the best horse out of the race, but I love the fact it has the race experience on her side. The horse that beat her on debut has run well since. They will be aggressive from the good gate and be right on speed. If it helps to be leading, she will lead for a long way. Best of those making their debut looks to be #10 STEVIE’S SPIRIT. Has trialled well and would like to make it a winning result too if prices allowed.
#7 COUNT NICHOLAS (best bet)
A lot of these are good horses out of form and closer to the end of it all. This horse has been in career best form and I love the set up by Campton here. Went out to 1540m on the poly last track and now back to 1400m, rock hard fit over 1500m on the turf. Just to top it off he has an in form apprentice on and only carries 53kg. Well placed by the trainer.
#18 MAQUISA each/way
Going against everything I believe in and have a non-winner on top. She has had 18 starts and just the 1 win. I just feel she has better ability than that and she will be much better placed in Qld. Most of Waller’s improve with racing but rom a good gate she can be highly competitive fresh. The recent trial on this track was excellent and I am hoping they go up $10+. I could also consider a three horse quinella with two other non-winners, #2 BEREZKA and #10 STRADA VARENNA.
#1 ARGENTUM ROCK + #13 NUKATABE
ARGENTUM ROCK has the runs on the board and deserves another win. He has been all around the money on this track lately but just the one win. Really like the form from last start and a repeat of that would win here. Just needs a patient and well timed ride to be the horse to beat. NUKATABE on the other hand only won a weak Grafton maiden and this is harder. I just really like her action and I like the fact she will only carry 52.5kg. She just has to run out the 2200m for this up and coming apprentice Archie McColm.
Beaudesert Race Club – Friday 21st August
#1 DEMARCAY
One for the whiz kid Galloway. This horse was a genuine hope in town last prep and this prep has been ok without being good. Love the 4kg claim and feel he is the best horse in the race. Not the best strike rate but feel Will can get us off to a good start in the first.
Trifecta: 1,10,12 // 1,8,10,12,13 // 1,8,10,12,13
#3 SWIFT DUKE
I really want $5+ to bet each way here if possible. This horse has been in very good form but it is a handy bm60 and the form should stack up. Looks to be really good speed and Swift Duke can sit off that speed midfield. If they get tired late he can be the swooping. Faster the go the better it will suit. Just need the leaders to knock up.
#2 MISHANI WITNESS (best bet)
Only looks a few chances in this race and I can find a knock on the other main chances. DETRIMENTAL is a query at the trip but maps on speed. EMPIRE OF ART is consistent but never wins. NAUGHTY NURSE good last start but in a poor race. MISHANI WITNESS copped a terrible ride and nothing went right two runs back in a good race. Picked them up and put them away at Ipswich last start in good fashion. This is pretty much about the apprentice getting a clear path and letting the horse do the rest.
#8 SEQUEL
Have to admit, not super confident here. Just love the fact they are aggressive on this horse every start. She should find the fence and be our leader. The pressure might be THE HAMO on our outside, so I’d love them to scratch. Otherwise I can see this mare kicking before the corner and having 2-3L on them. Can be soft late in races but we should get a good sight, especially if the track happens to be playing to the front a bit.
Aquis Park Gold Coast – 15th August
#5 Bay Of The South
The negatives are she doesn’t have any polytrack form and she has a wide gate. I feel she has the speed to win the race to the first corner and that can be where the race is won. Also feel the 1150m is about the right trip and rock hard fit from the two runs back. This will be the best chance she ever gets to break maiden status.
#3 Luconi
It was a very good return here a few weeks ago when runner up on the turf. Worth noting he won his only start on the poytrack and goes ok 2nd up. Might get back from the gate which is not ideal but can be strong late when he gets clear air. With luck in running he will be hard to hold out. Stable is striking at 22% from their last 50 runners.
#1 Cast Party
Looks limited chances in this race and feel she is just hitting hers straps deeper into her prep. I’m never keen on girls giving weight out the boys but she has a bit of class on most of these and she will jump on speed which could be an advantage. No poly experience but if she handles it, she is the one to beat.
#11 Bringme and #8 State A Fact
Basing these completely off polytrack form. Not sure I have tipped a horse that has been out of form as much as Bringme. The last run a week ago was his best in some time and the quick back up is a good sign with a good jockey. Has been runner up twice on this track and can go close at big odds. State A Fact has placed at both poly runs and has been good three of his last four starts. No big turn of foot but maps well and gets every chance.
#8 Missile One (if $6+)
I think Count Nicholas is the best horse but wide gate not ideal and is entered in other races over the weekend. There will be good speed here and Missile One should be able to land in the first half of the field and not spend a penny. Did win only start on the poly and has Hellyer on top.
Aquis Park Gold Coast – 1st August
#9 PIROUETTE GIRL + #1 MY HOUSE
Everything says PIROUETTE GIRL should be beating these. I wouldn’t say she has the best action in the world but she has the best record of these. Comes out of clearly the best form race and she is tactically versatile. Just needs to find a spot early from the outside gate and will be the one they have to beat. Just feel MY HOUSE may go up a big price and be a bit of value. Was $61 on debut, slow out and landed last in a race they walked along. Liked his work through the line and after the line. Can be better for that experience and if he is $10-20 I’d be happy to have something small on.
#6 SIR DON + #3 DIVINE MANDATE
Not that keen on this race but wanted to mention these two as the main hopes. SIR DON was decent fresh at Grafton and the good gate plus 1200m should suit against a soft field here. I’m not one to back them on debut but the trials of DIVINE MANDATE have been good enough to be competitive on debut. Maybe see which one the market likes race day.
Trifecta 4,13 // 4,5,7,13 // 1,4,5,7,11,13
I spent way too much time on this race but it is an interesting affair. I feel they will go up too short YATTAZOU but she is clearly the one to beat. A lot of these will be weak late and just feel I could play this trifecta instead. (price guide $24 for 100%)
#3 COUNT NICHOLAS
This pretty much comes down to if he runs 1400m strong. He loves this track, he’s super consistent but the 1400m is a query. My gut says he will get it and he handles all ground if the rain has hit by now. BLITZBURG the clear danger but he was horrible last start and been up a long time.
#11 EXUBERANCE
This horse was costly first up and I’m a bit surprised head gear didn’t go back on. Also don’t think it’s an apprentice horse so the wide gate could be a nightmare. If the rain has come, the gate might not be as big of a concern and I just think this mare has more upside than the rest of them. Also accepted in town but drew barrier 14 at both venues, far from ideal.
#5 ATLANTIC COAST
Would love an each/way price about this ($5-6+). I reckon about 1300m is the pet trip for this bloke but he is a trier and will keep fighting. You won’t miss him in the run, he’s a grey (nearly white). Handles rain if the forecast is right and less convictions than the rest of these. Clear and only danger for me looks PRECISE STAR for Gollan who won at first start for them after changing stables.
Aquis Park Gold Coast – 25th July
#1 COCCINELLA
Can’t really believe I’m getting involved here but I think it might be a two horse race with URBAN PRINCESS. I think Urban Princess might be a better horse but has to be a little query at the 1700m. Even though COCCINELLA has run 7th and 9th the last two starts, he has been better than that. Just been spotting them way too much start in his races. From gate 1 they have to be midfield at worse and they have to put themselves in the race as they should be stronger than mot of them late.
#6 METRIC
The market on these races with first starters are so important. Much better to wait and see what they back. I’d be keen this filly METRIC if she had a gate. She can still win but needs a good ride early from the apprentice. Just a pass mark on debut last prep. Was a drifter in the market and tipped out after it. The two trials back have been good and she simply looks a better and stronger horse this time in work. With any luck in running she should be in the finish. Of the First starters, I feel AUTO COMMAND has trialled well and might go well on debut.
#9 SUMMER SENSATION + #6 MARIA CLARA
Not having much luck with gates today. Expecting these to run well though. MARIA CLARA was very good on debut. Went forward and sat 3/4 in front of the horse on the fence (can’t stand when they do that). Just got run over late but fitter, better for the experience and back to 1000m suits. SUMMER SENSATION went around in some very high quality races last prep and was decent in them. Beat a smart horse (Apex Predator) in a recent trial and that horse has won and open 2yr old in town.
#1 GRAM
I was initially wanting to take this horse on but the more I look at the race the more he is suited. Looks to be good speed through Miss Force and Yoweri. As long as those two run I feel he can get across and get a trial behind them. If they go hard, he can be the one over the top of them late.
#10 SWIFT DUKE
Not super keen here just feel they will go up double figures. If so, I could have a small bet. The trial to start the prep was good and the fresh run was excellent. The good gate allows them to save some energy early and let him finish off. Made our blackbook last start and can run better than price suggests (without being too confident). Want $10+ to bet.
#2 ROCK HARD LOVE (if $5+ available)
He doesn’t win often this horse, but I have had some luck with him. Good run fresh but looked as though he needed it. The get back pattern is what stops him winning more often and again will need a bit of luck. There isn’t much speed here, so they simply must sit closer this time around. Has won 2/3 second up and has a turn of foot. #7 ENFORCEABLE is one who might push forward and be suited.
#3 GOLDEN SMILE
This mare and STRANGLEHOLD went head to head recently with Stranglehold just getting the bob. Since then Stranglehold has run very well in town. Just feel the fact GOLDEN SMILE comes here 3rd up says she is the one with more improvement from when they met. Also meets it 3kg better off at the weights to help out also.
#5 BUCKEYE
Looks a race in two for mine with ROUGH CAUSE. Fair to say BUCKEYE might have been a bit of a thinker early in his career. He was beaten four times at $3.70 or shorter before going to the bush and getting a kill against some plain ones. He is a horse that will be much better placed in Qld and should win his way through the grades. Trials have been good for the new stable and he will push forward to be right on speed. ROUGH CAUSE comes out of better races than this and does look to have good upside. He is the clear danger if he jumps ok with blinkers on first time.
Aquis Park Gold Coast – 18th July
#2 OVER SPRAY
Kelly Schweida has the top two here and both are dual acceptors. Leaning OVER SPRAY and would love them to run here. A genuine 1000m horse who handles wet ground and the likely leader also. All that means it’s a very suitable target. If he scratches this and runs METAL MAN I would probably back it instead. Just more of a query on a very wet track if we get to that.
#1 VANDEVELDE
I have to admit I thought off the back of the form last prep that this horse would have gone on to win more races. Has been ok without being good in better races than this. Nice drop in grade from running in a couple of Group 3 races back to a bm65 and rock hard fit now. No excuses if he isn’t good enough this time around.
#3 LIPIZZANER + #16 CARPET RIDE
Have mentioned both in case one doesn’t run. Feel they are clearly the best two horses in the race but still no good things. LIPIZZANER was very good on debut in a decent maiden. Tipped out after that and has been gelded. Trials have been ok without being great but just feel he is a decent one. CARPET RIDE on the other hand was horrible on debut but nothing went right there. Has trialled particularly well leading into this and draws a soft gate. They are the two I am focusing on here.
Quinella 1,2,5
CARNEGIE HILL I flying and roc hard fit but has the 61.5kg. CIGAR MAN was a winner 2nd up, fitter and claim helps. ALFA DUNDEE has won three in a row in easier races but winning form is good form. Hard to split them, happier to quinella them.
#10 THELWELL
Thinking if the rain has come this gelding could thrive. Forget the margin last start, he was in a bunch finish for 2nd, the winner won by 6L. Was excellent the start before that over 1000m on a heavy track and can find merit in most of the recent runs. Looks a tough race to finish but with 52kg, can give a sight.
Aquis Park Gold Coast – 11th July
#3 PRECISE STAR
We have had a decent run this month and hoping to get an early winner again here. Price the only query when they go up. This is no star but finds a very winnable race at first start for Gollan. Beaten a long way at most recent trial but showed a turn of foot in the previous one. Will want further as the prep goes on but this might be the best chance to win one.
#1 EDITED BY
Blind faith here. Just a run first up but it was a good quality race. He is a completely different horse after a run. Has had 6 starts first up and never placed. Has had 5 runs second up for 3 wins and 2 placings. Also 1/1 this track and trip. Looking for sharp improvement here and the fact they have opted to carry the 60kg with a senior gives some confidence.
#2 COINCIDE + #12 THRASH A BULLY
Keen to see what prices get thrown up but I’d like to split my bet between the two if prices allow. COINCIDE is a consistent type and recent runs rock solid. Will be on speed or just off it and give a sight. THRASH A BULLY was excellent her last start and was a dominant win. It was only a maiden race but draws well and takes a claim to help here.
#9 EXUBERANCE
Another one new to the Gollan yard and looks well placed in Qld. These horse that are lightly raced and competitive in Melbourne always measure up. The two trials have been good without being asked for too much. Inside draw is also a help. SPIRIT OF BRODIE and COUNT NICHOLAS might be the next best for those playing trifecta’s.
Aquis Beaudesert – 7th July
#2 WEEKEND SPIRIT $2.20
Reckon the market has this race right. Initial thought was this horse may need one more run to bring him on. After doing the replays, I just think he is a stronger horse than the rest of them. Strong jock on top and although I’d like closer to $3, he goes on top.
#5 CARPET RIDE $12/$3
Seems over the odds here. Nothing went right on debut and got a severe check mid race. Trialled very well leading into this and could be a completely different horse this prep. In a race with minimal chances, double figures looks generous.














